The
incidents that are taking place on the Azeri-Nagorno-Karabakh contact line are
too local for becoming a cause of a new war, Deputy Director of the Caucasus
Institute Sergey Minasyan said in an interview to ArmInfo.
"A new war may start only following a political
decision by the Azerbaijani authorities. But they will do it only when they are
100% sure that they have military prevalence over the Armenians," Minasyan
said.
He believes that the key reason why more incidents are
taking place on the Azeri-Armenian border, particularly, in Armenia's Tavush
region, is the start of the sowing season. "The fields are located too
close to the border, so, the civilians working there often become an aim for
Azeri snipers. And once they start shooting, the Armenians shoot back,"
Minasyan said, noting that sometimes the Armenians' response is to tough for
mere deterrence.