by Marianna Mkrtchyan
The incidents that are taking place on the Azeri-Nagorno-Karabakh contact line are too local for becoming a cause of a new war, Deputy Director of the Caucasus Institute Sergey Minasyan said in an interview to ArmInfo.
"A new war may start only following a political decision by the Azerbaijani authorities. But they will do it only when they are 100% sure that they have military prevalence over the Armenians," Minasyan said.
He believes that the key reason why more incidents are taking place on the Azeri-Armenian border, particularly, in Armenia's Tavush region, is the start of the sowing season. "The fields are located too close to the border, so, the civilians working there often become an aim for Azeri snipers. And once they start shooting, the Armenians shoot back," Minasyan said, noting that sometimes the Armenians' response is to tough for mere deterrence.