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Vice Speaker of Armenian Parliament: Madrid Principles are not the key element of the Karabakh peace process

US "deeply concerned" on criminal charges against Yunus family

US Department of State: It will take weeks to restore full visa processing capacity

VTB critical of EU's decision to restrict its access to capital markets

Rostelecom launches 40Gbs network in Yerevan

Electric power tariffs rise for population of Armenia on 1 August

Audit Chamber of Armenia calls silly statement claiming that ex-head of Pension Fund 'paid' $250,000 to Audit Chamber's leadership

Orange Foundation helps opening a new computer center in Pemzashen village, Shirak marz

Nominee for U.S. ambassador to Turkey: "Facilitating Armenia's regional integration by opening its border with Turkey will be one of my key goals as Ambassador"

Georgi Kolarov: The second Nagorno-Karabakh war is inevitable

Russian Embassy in Armenia gives a harsh response to the U.S. Embassy

Participants in Beeline's Fortune drawing campaign awarded prizes

Yerevan-Sevan-Ijevan-Azeri border highway to be open in late August

Armenian FM: Through its destructive stance Azerbaijan hinders the Nagorno-Karabakh peace progress

Up to 45% of Armenian citizens are potential emigrants

US Embassy urges Armenian businessmen to refrain from contacts with Russian companies

A leopard family in the south of Armenia gives birth to two cubs

Two Armenian soldiers die because of the Azerbaijani sabotage attack at the line of contact

Human rights activist Leyla and Arif Yunus are accused of secret collaboration with Armenian special services

Member-churches of World Council of Churches going to recognize Armenian Genocide in 2015

NKR foreign minister: Nagorno-Karabakh is where Europe begins

On Aug 2 South Caucasus Railway's commuter trains will be free of charge all over Armenia

Worker killed by a rock fall at perlite deposit in Aragatsavan

Azeris continue firing at Armenia's borderline villages

Serzh Sargsyan: OSCE Minsk Group has suggested principles that can serve as pivot for settling Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Paruyr Hayrikyan: Armenia and Ukraine have a common "frenemy" in the person of Russia

Electric Networks of Armenia is going to dispute Public Services Regulatory Commission's decision to impose a 15mln AMD fine on it

Economist: In face of economic sanctions against Russia, it is necessary to speed up the process for creating Eurasian Economic Union

Economist: The West's sanctions against Russia will affect the Armenian economy

Rostelecom launches online payment service

Public Services Regulatory Commission of Armenia imposes a 15mln AMD fine on Electric Networks of Armenia

Oppositionist: Interests and viewpoints of Stepanakert do not necessarily coincide with those of Yerevan

Oppositionist: Interests and viewpoints of Stepanakert do not necessarily coincide with those of Yerevan

Ashot Manuicharyan: Armenian President's function is to answer "yes, sir!" and to go do it

Deputy Prime Minister of Azerbaijan criticizes the ICRC again

Nature protection minister charges to resolve problems of several tailing dumps on Syunik region

Official stance of VTB Bank OJSC and VTB Bank (Armenia) CJSC on U.S. sanctions

RPA member: Nagorno-Karabakh Prime Minister's statement had no message to negotiators

Ashot Manucharyan: Armenia may face chaos or isolation at any moment

Armenia joins World Day against Trafficking in Persons

Lake Sevan is among top ten attractions in post-Soviet preferred by Russian people

Leyla Yunus is at Prosecutor General's Office, Arif Yunus decides to "give up"

Pre-Parliament: The overarching goal for all Armenians is the formation of a representative government in Armenia

The OSCE is ready to assist in any way possible to stop the cease-fire violations in karabakh conflict zone, Andrzej Kasprzyk says

US Department of State: Media outlets of Armenia published inaccurate articles portraying religious minorities as criminals and spies

Levon Hayrapetyan loses consciousness on Wednesday morning

Public Services Regulatory Commission decides to reduce tariffs of some services of ArmenTel CJSC

Poaching and illegal hunting tours endanger birds in Armenia

The NKR premier: The Madrid Principles are certainly unacceptable to us

Armenian Copper Programme cuts blister copper production by 13.5%

Aleksey Kolomiets: If opposition gains power, it will not stay in power long

ArmInfo’s interview with Aleksey Kolomiets, President of the Kyev-based Center for European and Transatlantic Studies

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Monday, February 10, 15:45

One can get an impression from what is happening now in Ukraine that the fate of the Kremlin-cherished Eurasian Union and restoration of Russia as a super power depends on the current developments on Kyev streets…

 

The major goal of Putin's team is the Eurasian Union. The Customs Union is a certain 'shield' and 'preparatory phrase.' It may seem improbable, but one can hardly find any banner reading "Eurasian Union' in the streets and on the barricades in Kyev and in Ukraine, generally. They have focused on opposing the Customs Union.

 

Unfortunately, the multi-party opposition in Ukraine also lacks political foresight. Meanwhile the men at the wheel of the Kremlin think that the Russian superpower has already been restored. What made them think so was annexation of the part of Georgia. In geopolitics, an aggressor will not stop until it is punished. And Putin is well aware of that. Therefore, such huge forces have been thrown to Ukraine.

 

 

How much possible is the opposition’s victory in Ukraine? What may it lead Ukraine to?

 

Unfortunately, it is mainly the paradox of the opposition configuration in Ukraine that has created the ongoing chaos.

The confidence in the opposition, if not its legitimacy, is diminishing rapidly. It has become the dominating challenge.  Therefore, if the current opposition gains power, it will not stay in power long. New forces and new leaders are emerging in front of our eyes and Maidan is turning to them. Furthermore, Maidan has become one of the determining factors for the future of Ukraine. There is an extremely high probability that a transitional government will be created in Ukraine. However, he thinks, it will be a government of suicides/kamikadzes that will stay in power for a few months till elections. The whole question comes down to this: will it be parliamentary or presidential election.

 

Is the state and territorial split of Ukraine possible?

 

 

The Russian strategic factor is the key one among the factors that affect the territorial integrity of Ukraine. The strategy of the Kremlin is to take under full control as many territories of Ukraine as possible. The main blow is directed at Lugansk, Donetsk and Kharkov regions and the Crimea. The congress of the "Ukrainian front" held in Kharkov is one of the elements of this strategy. In fact, the assault teams are being legalized.  The Crimea has become active. In particular, the leadership of the Supreme Council of the Crimea has been preparing documents, which openly say about the Crimea's annexation by Russia. The executive power of the Crimea is absolutely ignored.  The reaction of the Crimea Tatars to the challenges to separate from Ukraine may be easily predicted. The majority of the Crimea Tatars will never agree to live in Russia and the NATO member - Turkey will come forward to support them. Such development of events will be extremely dangerous as in that case everything may be beyond somebody's control.

 

 

The West’s response to the developments in Ukraine was tough enough. The U.S. speaks of sanctions, while EU mulls suspension of relations. How much will all this affect Ukraine’s relations with the West and its European integration?

 

 

The West has started acting too late. Ukraine was already shocked by atrophy of the West. This prompted the Ukrainians the necessity to act independently. There is no doubt that the USA is the leader of these actions, but not President Obama. The relations of Ukraine with the West should be fully revised. In particular, I mean true security guarantees.

The issue of the so-called European integration should be fully revised. It is necessary to fully restart the relations with the EU, and the process should be started after the election to the European Parliament and formation of the new staff of the European Commission. The strategic documents of relations between Ukraine and NATO in the new geo-political conditions should be prepared by the NATO summit in September. The so-called "Ukrainian plan" similar to the "Marshal's Plan" may play a significant part. The sponsors of this plan have already come forward the USA, the EU, Japan, Azerbaijan and Norway.

 

 

Do you share the opinion that the protests in support of the Association with the EU were just a reason for a power change in Ukraine?

 

A question arises as to whether the protests would start but for the association problem? The protests spiraled into revolution, while revolution gives no importance to secondary issues. The association agreement is a document of the past. A new agreement is needed.

 

One can get an impression that Yanukovich will stay in power if another tranche of the Russian loan is provided. $15 billion is rather a weighty lever of influence for Moscow on the pre-default Kyev.  Will these billions really save Ukraine from the financial and economic crisis?

 

The situation of the money that come to Ukraine from Moscow is simply wild, as $3 billion simply disappeared. This was a shock, first of all, for Putin.

 

In general, there are extreme disagreements between Putin and the Russian government in the matter of granting $15 billion to Ukraine. The credit has been suspended, as the financial and budgetary situation in Russia is worsening fast, and to resume crediting is a political suicide. Who to deliver the money to?  - Yanukovich? The former premier of Ukraine, Azarov, was a security guarantor, but he ran away from Ukraine to Austria.  According to the leading analysts, Ukraine is already beyond control from the point of view of finances, budget and monetary policy. There are only two steps to default.

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