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One of Orange subscribers to become the VIP guest of Cannes Film Festival

Vazgen Sargsyan's brother appointed Advisor to Armenian Defence Minister

RPA minister: If Kocharyan wants to return to the politics, let him do that openly

Serzh Sargsyan: Not one drop of Lake Sevan water goes to Azerbaijan

"Hraparak": Artur Bagdasaryan appointed as a head of CSTO Academy Council

Within the frames of charitable action Anelik Bank staff gathers 1 billion AMD to help Kessab Armenians

Armenia on the second position among post-Soviet countries by the number of EU visa denials

Director of Ichthyology and Hydroecology Institute: Higher maximum admissible level of water release from Sevan to have a negative effect on the lake's ecosystem

Hraparak newspaper: Tigran Sargsyan will be appointed Armenia's Ambassador to USA

Karen Karapetyan has no intention to take any post in the government staff

Serzh Sargsyan has not yet offered parliament speaker's position to Galust Sahakyan

Hovik Abrahamyan: Pension reform in Armenia must be mandatory, but not binding

Serj Tankian: Both Armenians and Turks deserve leaders and governments

Hovik Abrahamyan introduces the newly appointed Economy Minister Karen Chshmarityan

Vacheh Gabrielyan appointed top advisor to prime minister of Armenia

Successful experience of first two Ameria Generation projects of 2012-2013 encourages Ameriabank to launch the third project in 2014

ARFD: Unlike Tigran Sargsyan, Hovik Abrahamyan is ready for concessions

Gagik Tsarukyan: Consultations between political forces and civil sector underway

Oppositionist: Serzh Sargsyan shuts down for Robert Kocharyan the way towards the power

Laura Bagdasaryan: Having proclaimed me Mata Hari, the authorities of Azerbaijan are striving to put the lid on the people's diplomacy

In Q1 2014 Areximbank-Gazprombank Group registers net profit of 289mln AMD

Politician: President of Armenia does not want to fray relations with the West. For this reason, he does not recall his signature from under the Armenian-Turkish Protocols

Robert Kocharyan: Constitution should be reformed only in case if it must not but be reformed

Council of Field Commanders to convene in Republican Square on 23 April

Hraparak newspaper: Galust Sahakyan to head parliament

Robert Kocharyan: Regretfully, Serzh Sargsyan did not perceive the difference between sincere concern over country's fate and exulting over poor performance of the authorities

New parliament speaker and ministers may be named at RPA Executive Body's meeting on 26 April

Armenian President visits Teghut copper and molybdenum mine

Armenian PM: Support of business will be a top priority for us

Well-known French filmmaker Robert Gedikian shoots film about Armenian Genocide

Newspaper: Armenian Government to shortly ease tax burden on SMEs

Newspaper: Prime Minister Hovik Abrahamyan will shortly urge officials and parliamentarians to refuse from salary increase

David Haroutiunyan appointed as Government Chief of Staff

Regional

Vice-Speaker of Israeli Knesset to Deliver in Tbilisi Lecture on Israeli-Arabic Relations

German Chancellor Invites Garibashvili to Visit her Country

Georgian Foreign Minister to Visit Germany

Georgian Foreign Minister Attends International Conference in Vilnius

President to Have Exclusive Right to Grant Georgian Citizenship

NATO Week in Georgia Starts Today

Discussion of the Azerbaijani-Iranian relations on Culture and Tourism

Chief of General Staff of the RF to visit Baku

Ilham Aliyev will visit NAR

Georgian Premier Starts his Regional Tour

Georgian President to Hold Talks in Poland

Georgian Prime Minister Meets with EU Special Adviser

Erdogan is arriving in Baku

Simplification of the visa regime between the EU and Azerbaijan may occur in the summer

U.S. Embassy: Any allegations that US government representatives are trying to foment a revolution in Azerbaijan are absolutely absurd

Foreign Minister of Afghanistan to Pay Official Visit to Georgia

Georgian Foreign Ministry Makes Strict Statement, Concerning Referendum in the Crimea

President Margvelashvili Meets Georgian Troops, Deployed in Afghanistan

Georgian Premier and Afghan Foreign Minister Discuss Two Countries' Relations

Georgian Premier Holds Official Dinner in Honor of Romanian Prime Minister

Analyst: The USA invested $5 billion to directly support Maidan

Georgian Ambassador to Japan Hands over Credentials to His Imperial Majesty Emperor Akihito of Japan.

Tbilisi Hosts Annual PDP Conference

NATO May Accelerate Georgia's Integration and Grant it MAP because of the Crimea Problem

Georgian Ambassador to Lithuania Addresses Seimas

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister in Baku

Gerhard Schroeder will make a speech in Baku

Putin is unable to persuade the leader of the Crimean Tatars

Georgian Defence Minister Attends NATO Defence Ministerial

Saakashvili is Offered High Post in Kiev

Aleksey Kolomiets: If opposition gains power, it will not stay in power long

ArmInfo’s interview with Aleksey Kolomiets, President of the Kyev-based Center for European and Transatlantic Studies

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Monday, February 10, 15:45

One can get an impression from what is happening now in Ukraine that the fate of the Kremlin-cherished Eurasian Union and restoration of Russia as a super power depends on the current developments on Kyev streets…

 

The major goal of Putin's team is the Eurasian Union. The Customs Union is a certain 'shield' and 'preparatory phrase.' It may seem improbable, but one can hardly find any banner reading "Eurasian Union' in the streets and on the barricades in Kyev and in Ukraine, generally. They have focused on opposing the Customs Union.

 

Unfortunately, the multi-party opposition in Ukraine also lacks political foresight. Meanwhile the men at the wheel of the Kremlin think that the Russian superpower has already been restored. What made them think so was annexation of the part of Georgia. In geopolitics, an aggressor will not stop until it is punished. And Putin is well aware of that. Therefore, such huge forces have been thrown to Ukraine.

 

 

How much possible is the opposition’s victory in Ukraine? What may it lead Ukraine to?

 

Unfortunately, it is mainly the paradox of the opposition configuration in Ukraine that has created the ongoing chaos.

The confidence in the opposition, if not its legitimacy, is diminishing rapidly. It has become the dominating challenge.  Therefore, if the current opposition gains power, it will not stay in power long. New forces and new leaders are emerging in front of our eyes and Maidan is turning to them. Furthermore, Maidan has become one of the determining factors for the future of Ukraine. There is an extremely high probability that a transitional government will be created in Ukraine. However, he thinks, it will be a government of suicides/kamikadzes that will stay in power for a few months till elections. The whole question comes down to this: will it be parliamentary or presidential election.

 

Is the state and territorial split of Ukraine possible?

 

 

The Russian strategic factor is the key one among the factors that affect the territorial integrity of Ukraine. The strategy of the Kremlin is to take under full control as many territories of Ukraine as possible. The main blow is directed at Lugansk, Donetsk and Kharkov regions and the Crimea. The congress of the "Ukrainian front" held in Kharkov is one of the elements of this strategy. In fact, the assault teams are being legalized.  The Crimea has become active. In particular, the leadership of the Supreme Council of the Crimea has been preparing documents, which openly say about the Crimea's annexation by Russia. The executive power of the Crimea is absolutely ignored.  The reaction of the Crimea Tatars to the challenges to separate from Ukraine may be easily predicted. The majority of the Crimea Tatars will never agree to live in Russia and the NATO member - Turkey will come forward to support them. Such development of events will be extremely dangerous as in that case everything may be beyond somebody's control.

 

 

The West’s response to the developments in Ukraine was tough enough. The U.S. speaks of sanctions, while EU mulls suspension of relations. How much will all this affect Ukraine’s relations with the West and its European integration?

 

 

The West has started acting too late. Ukraine was already shocked by atrophy of the West. This prompted the Ukrainians the necessity to act independently. There is no doubt that the USA is the leader of these actions, but not President Obama. The relations of Ukraine with the West should be fully revised. In particular, I mean true security guarantees.

The issue of the so-called European integration should be fully revised. It is necessary to fully restart the relations with the EU, and the process should be started after the election to the European Parliament and formation of the new staff of the European Commission. The strategic documents of relations between Ukraine and NATO in the new geo-political conditions should be prepared by the NATO summit in September. The so-called "Ukrainian plan" similar to the "Marshal's Plan" may play a significant part. The sponsors of this plan have already come forward the USA, the EU, Japan, Azerbaijan and Norway.

 

 

Do you share the opinion that the protests in support of the Association with the EU were just a reason for a power change in Ukraine?

 

A question arises as to whether the protests would start but for the association problem? The protests spiraled into revolution, while revolution gives no importance to secondary issues. The association agreement is a document of the past. A new agreement is needed.

 

One can get an impression that Yanukovich will stay in power if another tranche of the Russian loan is provided. $15 billion is rather a weighty lever of influence for Moscow on the pre-default Kyev.  Will these billions really save Ukraine from the financial and economic crisis?

 

The situation of the money that come to Ukraine from Moscow is simply wild, as $3 billion simply disappeared. This was a shock, first of all, for Putin.

 

In general, there are extreme disagreements between Putin and the Russian government in the matter of granting $15 billion to Ukraine. The credit has been suspended, as the financial and budgetary situation in Russia is worsening fast, and to resume crediting is a political suicide. Who to deliver the money to?  - Yanukovich? The former premier of Ukraine, Azarov, was a security guarantor, but he ran away from Ukraine to Austria.  According to the leading analysts, Ukraine is already beyond control from the point of view of finances, budget and monetary policy. There are only two steps to default.

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