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"Heritage": further strategy of non-government three to be determined at the beginning of February

Uruguayan President: Let's not forget about unrecognized Armenian Genocide

Nikolay Bordyuzha: CSTO cannot give military response to escalation of tension along contact line of Azerbaijani-Armenian troops

Expert: Israel's policy on Armenian Genocide will not change

Armenian policeman accused of robbing houses of Iranians living in Yerevan

Analyst: It is the military-political balance rather than the Russian base that defends Armenia against Turkey

Government of Armenia says they have fulfilled all the demands of salespersons, but they continue to rally

Armenian expert: The key reason why the Armenian authorities are behaving like ostriches is that their boss is going to leave them

Parliamentary opposition suggests convoking special parliamentary session on turnover tax law

Prime Minister: Armenia is preparing to resist global economic war

VimpelCom Ltd., announces the launch of its "Make Your Mark" initiative

Fatih Akin's "The Cut" to be screened in Armenia and Russia starting from Feb 19

Expert: Turkey will try to make up a format for its participation in events to be organized by Armenia to commemorate 100th year of Armenian Genocide

Political expert: 2015 will see no breakthrough in Nagorno-Karabakh peace process

Armenian expert: Permyakov case will be used as pretext for planned withdrawal of 102nd Russian military base from Armenia

Expert: Growing tension in the Karabakh conflict zone bears no relation to upcoming centennial of the Armenian Genocide

France-Artsakh Friendship Circle supports OSCE Minsk Group's charges against Azerbaijan

James Warlick: "The reported use of 'drones' above or across the Nagorno-#Karabakh line of contact is a provocation"

One more concert on sidelines of Edgar Oganesyan-Fest in Yerevan

Criminal case opened over death of soldier in Yerevan

President of Turkey calls for opening archives and submitting Genocide issue to historians

The Pan-Armenian Declaration On The 100th Anniversary Of The Armenian Genocide Promulgated

New appointments at VTB Bank (Armenia)

Armenian President: Denial of Armenian Genocide turns present-day Turkish authorities into accomplices to the crime committed by Young Turks

President Serzh Sargsyan attends opening of Komitas Museum-Institute

Spokesman of Armenian DM: I will not be surprised if tomorrow Azerbaijan destroys an Armenian intercontinental ballistic missile

Action of protest held in front of OSCE Office in Yerevan

Tension on Line of Contact is unlikely to develop into large-scale military operations, Azeri expert says

Well-known actor Vardan Petrosyan sentenced to 5 years in jail

Armenian Defense Ministry: Two Armenian servicemen wounded as a result of Azeri sabotage attack

Small business representatives heading towards president's residence protesting against Law on Turnover Tax

Azeri raiders convicted in Artsakh apply to Court of Appeal

Gevork Kostanyan: Armenian people had to protect their own history against distortion at ECHR

Haaretz: President of Israel touches upon Armenian Genocide

Francois Hollande calls on Turkey to dispel stereotypes and recognize Genocide of Armenians

Armenian armed forces rebuff a new Azeri sabotage attack on the border in Tavush region

Armenian delegation to PACE voices issue of Armenian Genocide in Ottoman Turkey

Small HPPs constructed on rivers to get green passports

Verdict on "Perincek vs. Switzerland" case will be announced within 6-8 months

Official Stepanakert thinks extradition of Dilham Askerov may not be debated

OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs voice their concern over growing tensions in Karabakh conflict zone

Eduard Sharmazanov: "OSCE MG's latest statement was unprecedented, as the mediators took Baku down a peg for the first time ever "

President of Armenia: "Artsakh's right to live in freedom is undisputable"

Artsvik Minasyan: Any integration is senseless for unreformed economy of Armenia

Armenia's Energy Ministry plans to sell part of Nairit Plant's assets

Armenian Defense Minister: Transfer of Valery Permyakov to Armenian law-enforcers was not discussed at the meeting with Arkady Bakhin

Expert: Armenian law-enforcers are not involved in Permyakov case investigation to full extent

British Film Festival 13th Love Edition to kick off in Yerevan on Feb 14

Changes in Russia-Middle East relations cannot but affect Armenian-Russian military strategic cooperation

Armenian FM: Armenia and Iran have no problems concerning their joint projects

Zhirayr Sefilyan: The format of our relations with Russia needs revision

ArmInfo’s interview with Zhirayr Sefilyan, the coordinator of the action group of the Sardarapat movement and the Preparliament national-political initiative, hero of the Nagorno-Karabakh War

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Wednesday, June 11, 12:04

 Tension on the Karabakh-Azerbaijani border keeps growing since the beginning of the year. The latest ceasefire breaches in Yeraskh showed that surprises can be expected even from the border with Nakhijevan that was relatively peaceful even during the Karabakh war. What is the reason of the constantly growing tension on the border and on the Nakhijevani border, particularly?

 I have repeatedly said that in conditions of the current balance of power in the region, Azerbaijan is unable to unleash war independently.  However, if the balance of power is broken and in case of favorable conditions, Baku will undoubtedly try to not only seize Artsakh, but also go far beyond it. Firing from Nakhijevan, the enemy hints that in case of war, the military actions will go beyond the Karabakh-Azerbaijan border.  The entire Armenia will be involved into the military actions, including the Ararat Valley and Yerevan. In addition, over the last months, Iran has repeatedly come out for re-launching the communications via the territory of Nekhijevan. The given circumstance has become a reason for Azerbaijan to prevent that extremely favorable to Armenia process with destabilization of the situation.  Actually, as a result of another geopolitical disturbance in the region, the interests of the Russian imperial state and the Turkic expansionism have met again. The Russian-Turkic Eurasian project is also the result of that coincidence of interests, like the recent activation of Azeris on the border between Nakhijevan and Armenia.  It is not for the actions of a third power that we have faced distress again. It is our guilt. We failed to turn the national liberation movement launched in 1988 into a fight for establishment of a sovereign state. We failed to create a truly independent and sovereign country. In fact, Armenia has been colonized. That is why, it is high time to consolidate. Our goal must be to get rid of the incumbent authorities as soon as possible and establish our own will. Once we do it, nobody will any longer be able to involve us in any treacherous projects. And should we have to defend our independence and dignity with arms, we will do it. If we do this, we will become much stronger as we will have real allies.

 Russia’s Ambassador Ivan Volynkin has recently told journalists that the sale of TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems and T-90 tanks to Azerbaijan was nothing but commerce. Won’t that commerce lead to a new war in Karabakh amid the  frequent deadly ceasefire breaches on the border?

 Russia has been losing the values and development objectives, in particular, the resource of the future at a fearful rate. And instead of ensuring its future through the local reformation, Russia has been trying to replenish this resource by taking it from the others.  The typical example of such a methodology is enhancing of the Turkish factor at the expense of Armenia so that to gain its support.  Among such steps we can also point at the delivery of comprehensive types of armament to Azerbaijan. Via such a delivery Moscow has been trying to simultaneously gain economical as well as geo-political preferences. This flirt that reminds us of the known events 100 years ago, is very much dangerous not only for Armenia but for Russia as well.

The ratio of the Russian and Turkish competitive factor, first of all the demographic one, has changed much not in favor of Russia. And this time, Russia will hardly digest consequences of this flirt. In such conditions the possibility of the new war should not be ruled out. If the war starts before we manage to overthrow this colonized regime in Armenia, we shall have a twice-hard work. In that case, we will have nothing to do but simultaneously neutralize the internal and external dangers. This implies the entire nation’s involvement in a large-scale liberation war. 

 Experts are seriously concerned over the high threat of the rapidly developing crisis in Ukraine to the U.S.-France-Russia cooperation over Karabakh conflict as part of the OSCE MG

 The crisis in Ukraine is now curbing Russia's imperial ambitions in the region. I think Russia and the West will fight for Ukraine and this fight will have a certain impact on the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process.  I am not sure, however, if this can shatter the Minsk Group but I assume that this may happen if Russia allows Azerbaijan to start a new war.

 To substantiate Armenia’s involvement into the Kremlin-initiated Eurasian projects, the authorities of both Armenia and Russia highlight the security as the key factor. Will Armenia’s accession to the EAU give security guarantees to Armenia and Artsakh?

  These arguments are not only absurd, but also ‘suicidal’. The Eurasian project is contrary to the interests of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh and cannot ensure their security. Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh must not seek security at the expense of their sovereignty.

  Does Armenia need the presence of the Russian 102nd military base in the current geopolitical situation, when there are no foreign troops in Artsakh, particularly, on the border with Iran, which increases rather than reduces the security of NKR?

 In general, the availability of the troops of another even friendly state at the territory of any state shows the weakness of the latter. In the conditions of the "cold war" when Armenia was a part of the Soviet empire, the expediency of the Russian troops in Armenia was not discussed. After the USSR split, in the conditions when the parameters and balance of forces of the "cold war" and of the bipolar world was preserved, the availability of the Russian troops at the territory of Armenia was more of the inert nature. And instead of ticking over, we had to resolve a problem of the gradual way out from the situation.

At present Armenia faces an extremely changing situation. The world has become multi-polar, and a new strong pro-Armenian factor has been formed in the region - Iran. As a counter-balance to this, today Russia has been arming the enemy which intends to destruct Armenia, and has been absorbing sovereignty of the country. Just for this reason, the absence of foreign troops at the territory of Karabakh is favorable for its security.

 In such a condition, the format of our relations with Russia needs revision. They should be built on the principles of equality and mutual respect of interests. In particular, Russian frontier troops, as part of Russia's Federal Security Service, should be removed without any preconditions. As for the expediency of the 102nd Russian military base in Armenia, it should be revised from the point of view of our own interests.

 Armenia’s leadership blindly follows all the ‘advices’ of Moscow and Washington.  At least, look at the Armenian-Turkish normalization and Armenia’s ‘aspirations’ for the Eurasian projects. What holds Armenia from demanding its ‘advisors’ to take immediately measures to calm down Aliyev’s trigger-happy policy in exchange for its services?

 The regime acting on our behalf has no will of their own, so, we cannot expect anything from it. What it can do is just to prolong its life for a little while at the expense of our national interests. So, our goal must be to get rid of it as soon as possible.

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