Newsfeed

Soldier Artyom Tovmasyan Died in the Road Traffic Accident of "Ural" Military Vehicle

Ashot Manucharyan: Russia Does Not Need Parliamentary Armenia

Encyclopedia Britannica renames article "Armenian Massacres" into "Armenian Genocide"

Samvel Farmanyan: Turkey will recognize Armenian Genocide and will do it under pressure of its own public

President of the Republika Srpska: We should make out contribution to fight against Genocide denial

Arrested member of Founding Parliament Movement goes on hunger strike

Greece will be represented at level of parliament speaker at Armenian Genocide Centennial events in Yerevan

Views from Brussels: All EU countries welcome new economic ties if sanctions against Iran are lifted

Expert: By turning Armenia from EU to EEU, Putin's Russia is all the same unable to build "integration" on fear and blackmail

View from Brussels: Though the Russians can Stoically Endure Privations, Putin Should Estimate the Future Scenario of Russian Economic Isolation

Russian Polymetal International plc to Re-Activate Lichqvaz-Tey Mine

Putin hopes conflict situation around Pope's statement on Armenian Genocide will be settled

1st and 2nd Issue of Foreign Currency Denominated Bonds by ARMSWISSBANK Placed at NASDAQ OMX Armenia

Rostelecom Launching a New Project together with the faculty of Radio Engineering and Communication Systems of National Polytechnic University of Armenia

Turkish PM's top adviser Etyen Mahcupyan dismissed after Genocide remarks

Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry slams European Parliament's resolution of Armenian Genocide centennial

ANCA: European Parliament Armenian Genocide Vote Shines Spotlight On President Obama

Erdogan: "Decision the European Parliament would go in one ear and out the other"

Offended at Europe, Ankara makes feeble attempt to shuffle off the blame for Genocide on to Europe

US Ambassador to Azerbaijan says United States may not attend Gallipoli Victory events

Steven Blockmans: Liberalization of visa regime and Horizon 2020 only thing Armenia expects from Riga Summit

Nalbandian: European Parliament Proving its Commitment to Universal Values

European Parliament Adopting Resolution on Armenian Genocide

Eduard Sharmazanov: European Parliament's Resolution on Genocide of Armenians powerful blow on Ankara's denial policy

Ucom Employees Establish Alley in Tsitsernakaberd

Yerevan Brandy Company recreates legendary brandy "Armenia"

Recep Erdogan: European Parliament's Resolution on Armenian Genocide of No Meaning to Turkey

Russian analyst: Yerevan has never been guided by the principle "either Moscow or Brussels"

Acting Spokesperson for U.S. Department of State fails to give a direct answer to the question on Armenian Genocide

Children who Survive on a Pension

Russian analyst: Moscow and Yerevan to seriously discuss the matter of Serzh Sargsyan's possible successor

Erdogan's Advisor: Events of 1915 cannot help being called genocide

VTB Bank (Armenia) and MasterCard announce winners of "At the Wheel with VTB" joint campaign

German Government abstains from using "genocide" term when describing persecutions against Armenians, Christiane Wirtz says

Ameriabank launches Ameria Mobile Banking app for remote users

AMD depreciation and lending reduction affect Armenia's securities market

State Duma Speaker to Represent Russia At Turkish Gallipoli Victory Celebrations

Newspaper: Hillary Clinton Might Probably Visit Armenia on April 24

Turkish Ambassador: Sooner or Later the World Will Acknowledge the 1915 Facts

Pope Francis to Visit Armenia in 2016

International human rights NGOs call on world community to boycott European Games and impose sanctions on Azerbaijan

ArmSwissBank Intending to Enter the Market of Corporate Bonds

Expert: Turkey and Russia have common interests

U.S. Ambassador: Some projects in Armenia will be suspended

Vice-President of European Parliament: Our Attitude Would Be the Same if Armenia's Fate Had Befallen Turkey

Samvel Farmanian: Pope's statement will greatly help stepping up process of international recognition of Armenian Genocide

Italian Foreign Affairs Minister Criticizing Ankara's Response to Pope's Statement

Statistics of anti-virus labs Kaspersky and McAfee: Armenia among Top-3 countries with most vulnerable users and websites

Knesset members to attend Armenian Genocide Centennial commemorations in Yerevan

200 Thsd Failed Hacker Attacks on Ucom Website

Exclusive

Ashot Manucharyan: Russia Does Not Need Parliamentary Armenia

Samvel Farmanyan: Turkey will recognize Armenian Genocide and will do it under pressure of its own public

Yana Amelina: "Weapon strategy" of Moscow will stop only after world geopolitical balance is restored

Vardan Voskanyan: Iran assumes functions of "a gendarme" to remove chaos in Middle East

“Angels” and “Demons” of Film Director Hovhannes Galstyan

Andrey Areshev: Karabakh-related humanitarian initiatives from Russia could be useful

Sevak Sarukhanyan: Concerns about possible emergence of ISIS in Azerbaijan focus Tehran's attention on Baku

Alexander Zinker: Israel has never before been so close to recognition of Armenian Genocide

Andrey Yepifantsev: Russia and Armenia have what to keep silence about

Promise to convict Permyakov at 102nd Russian military base in Armenia is already a big gesture of Russia

Ruben Safrastyan: Turkey fears consequences of Armenian Genocide denial

Serious trends of geopolitical changes in South Caucasus lead to clashes and redrawing of borders

Armenian Men are Also Eager to Look Young

Karine Danielyan: The women who prefer being mothers deserve the same respect as female politicians

Georgian political expert: Putin has put his mind on implementing Primakov Doctrine

Gagik Mkrtchyan: Our country not only can but also should develop industrial production

Arthur Ashughyan: Future of lapidary industry depends on how competitive and efficient it is

Avaz Hasanov: OSCE MG, Russia, EU, or U.S. can impose no pressure upon Armenia and Azerbaijan in the matter of Karabakh

The key goal of Russia’s policy in Armenia is to prevent fusion of public protests with anti-Russian moods

Zhirayr Sefilyan: The format of our relations with Russia needs revision

ArmInfo’s interview with Zhirayr Sefilyan, the coordinator of the action group of the Sardarapat movement and the Preparliament national-political initiative, hero of the Nagorno-Karabakh War

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Wednesday, June 11, 12:04

 Tension on the Karabakh-Azerbaijani border keeps growing since the beginning of the year. The latest ceasefire breaches in Yeraskh showed that surprises can be expected even from the border with Nakhijevan that was relatively peaceful even during the Karabakh war. What is the reason of the constantly growing tension on the border and on the Nakhijevani border, particularly?

 I have repeatedly said that in conditions of the current balance of power in the region, Azerbaijan is unable to unleash war independently.  However, if the balance of power is broken and in case of favorable conditions, Baku will undoubtedly try to not only seize Artsakh, but also go far beyond it. Firing from Nakhijevan, the enemy hints that in case of war, the military actions will go beyond the Karabakh-Azerbaijan border.  The entire Armenia will be involved into the military actions, including the Ararat Valley and Yerevan. In addition, over the last months, Iran has repeatedly come out for re-launching the communications via the territory of Nekhijevan. The given circumstance has become a reason for Azerbaijan to prevent that extremely favorable to Armenia process with destabilization of the situation.  Actually, as a result of another geopolitical disturbance in the region, the interests of the Russian imperial state and the Turkic expansionism have met again. The Russian-Turkic Eurasian project is also the result of that coincidence of interests, like the recent activation of Azeris on the border between Nakhijevan and Armenia.  It is not for the actions of a third power that we have faced distress again. It is our guilt. We failed to turn the national liberation movement launched in 1988 into a fight for establishment of a sovereign state. We failed to create a truly independent and sovereign country. In fact, Armenia has been colonized. That is why, it is high time to consolidate. Our goal must be to get rid of the incumbent authorities as soon as possible and establish our own will. Once we do it, nobody will any longer be able to involve us in any treacherous projects. And should we have to defend our independence and dignity with arms, we will do it. If we do this, we will become much stronger as we will have real allies.

 Russia’s Ambassador Ivan Volynkin has recently told journalists that the sale of TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems and T-90 tanks to Azerbaijan was nothing but commerce. Won’t that commerce lead to a new war in Karabakh amid the  frequent deadly ceasefire breaches on the border?

 Russia has been losing the values and development objectives, in particular, the resource of the future at a fearful rate. And instead of ensuring its future through the local reformation, Russia has been trying to replenish this resource by taking it from the others.  The typical example of such a methodology is enhancing of the Turkish factor at the expense of Armenia so that to gain its support.  Among such steps we can also point at the delivery of comprehensive types of armament to Azerbaijan. Via such a delivery Moscow has been trying to simultaneously gain economical as well as geo-political preferences. This flirt that reminds us of the known events 100 years ago, is very much dangerous not only for Armenia but for Russia as well.

The ratio of the Russian and Turkish competitive factor, first of all the demographic one, has changed much not in favor of Russia. And this time, Russia will hardly digest consequences of this flirt. In such conditions the possibility of the new war should not be ruled out. If the war starts before we manage to overthrow this colonized regime in Armenia, we shall have a twice-hard work. In that case, we will have nothing to do but simultaneously neutralize the internal and external dangers. This implies the entire nation’s involvement in a large-scale liberation war. 

 Experts are seriously concerned over the high threat of the rapidly developing crisis in Ukraine to the U.S.-France-Russia cooperation over Karabakh conflict as part of the OSCE MG

 The crisis in Ukraine is now curbing Russia's imperial ambitions in the region. I think Russia and the West will fight for Ukraine and this fight will have a certain impact on the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process.  I am not sure, however, if this can shatter the Minsk Group but I assume that this may happen if Russia allows Azerbaijan to start a new war.

 To substantiate Armenia’s involvement into the Kremlin-initiated Eurasian projects, the authorities of both Armenia and Russia highlight the security as the key factor. Will Armenia’s accession to the EAU give security guarantees to Armenia and Artsakh?

  These arguments are not only absurd, but also ‘suicidal’. The Eurasian project is contrary to the interests of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh and cannot ensure their security. Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh must not seek security at the expense of their sovereignty.

  Does Armenia need the presence of the Russian 102nd military base in the current geopolitical situation, when there are no foreign troops in Artsakh, particularly, on the border with Iran, which increases rather than reduces the security of NKR?

 In general, the availability of the troops of another even friendly state at the territory of any state shows the weakness of the latter. In the conditions of the "cold war" when Armenia was a part of the Soviet empire, the expediency of the Russian troops in Armenia was not discussed. After the USSR split, in the conditions when the parameters and balance of forces of the "cold war" and of the bipolar world was preserved, the availability of the Russian troops at the territory of Armenia was more of the inert nature. And instead of ticking over, we had to resolve a problem of the gradual way out from the situation.

At present Armenia faces an extremely changing situation. The world has become multi-polar, and a new strong pro-Armenian factor has been formed in the region - Iran. As a counter-balance to this, today Russia has been arming the enemy which intends to destruct Armenia, and has been absorbing sovereignty of the country. Just for this reason, the absence of foreign troops at the territory of Karabakh is favorable for its security.

 In such a condition, the format of our relations with Russia needs revision. They should be built on the principles of equality and mutual respect of interests. In particular, Russian frontier troops, as part of Russia's Federal Security Service, should be removed without any preconditions. As for the expediency of the 102nd Russian military base in Armenia, it should be revised from the point of view of our own interests.

 Armenia’s leadership blindly follows all the ‘advices’ of Moscow and Washington.  At least, look at the Armenian-Turkish normalization and Armenia’s ‘aspirations’ for the Eurasian projects. What holds Armenia from demanding its ‘advisors’ to take immediately measures to calm down Aliyev’s trigger-happy policy in exchange for its services?

 The regime acting on our behalf has no will of their own, so, we cannot expect anything from it. What it can do is just to prolong its life for a little while at the expense of our national interests. So, our goal must be to get rid of it as soon as possible.

Send to a friend

To (e-mail)


Your name


Message


Comments

View comments (0)
  • READ ALL COMMENTS
  • POST A COMMENT

Be first to comment on this article

* Indicates required fields