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New appointments at VTB Bank (Armenia)

Armenian President: Denial of Armenian Genocide turns present-day Turkish authorities into accomplices to the crime committed by Young Turks

President Serzh Sargsyan attends opening of Komitas Museum-Institute

Spokesman of Armenian DM: I will not be surprised if tomorrow Azerbaijan destroys an Armenian intercontinental ballistic missile

Action of protest held in front of OSCE Office in Yerevan

Tension on Line of Contact is unlikely to develop into large-scale military operations, Azeri expert says

Well-known actor Vardan Petrosyan sentenced to 5 years in jail

Armenian Defense Ministry: Two Armenian servicemen wounded as a result of Azeri sabotage attack

Small business representatives heading towards president's residence protesting against Law on Turnover Tax

Azeri raiders convicted in Artsakh apply to Court of Appeal

Gevork Kostanyan: Armenian people had to protect their own history against distortion at ECHR

Haaretz: President of Israel touches upon Armenian Genocide

Francois Hollande calls on Turkey to dispel stereotypes and recognize Genocide of Armenians

Armenian armed forces rebuff a new Azeri sabotage attack on the border in Tavush region

Armenian delegation to PACE voices issue of Armenian Genocide in Ottoman Turkey

Small HPPs constructed on rivers to get green passports

Verdict on "Perincek vs. Switzerland" case will be announced within 6-8 months

Official Stepanakert thinks extradition of Dilham Askerov may not be debated

OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs voice their concern over growing tensions in Karabakh conflict zone

Eduard Sharmazanov: "OSCE MG's latest statement was unprecedented, as the mediators took Baku down a peg for the first time ever "

President of Armenia: "Artsakh's right to live in freedom is undisputable"

Artsvik Minasyan: Any integration is senseless for unreformed economy of Armenia

Armenia's Energy Ministry plans to sell part of Nairit Plant's assets

Armenian Defense Minister: Transfer of Valery Permyakov to Armenian law-enforcers was not discussed at the meeting with Arkady Bakhin

Expert: Armenian law-enforcers are not involved in Permyakov case investigation to full extent

British Film Festival 13th Love Edition to kick off in Yerevan on Feb 14

Changes in Russia-Middle East relations cannot but affect Armenian-Russian military strategic cooperation

Armenian FM: Armenia and Iran have no problems concerning their joint projects

Global Finance: In 2015 Ameriabank named the best trade finance bank of the year in Armenia

Armenian Defense Minister: Azerbaijani raider's fate must be discussed with authorities of Nagorno Karabakh only

OSCE chairperson-in-office calls on the parties to the Karabakh conflict to ensure a full ceasefire

Armenia to appear in first semifinal of Eurovision Song Contest 2015

Foreign minister of Iran: Teheran hopes to tackle issue of Russia's S300 supplies as soon as possible

Serzh Sargsyan: It might have been possible to prevent the crimes committed under veil of WWII had the crimes against humanity committed during WWI earned unequivocal international condemnation

Newspaper: Permyakov was not acquainted with Avetisyans family

India Ambassador to Armenia welcomes level of bilateral cooperation

Expert: Russia's every decision directly affects Armenia

Richard Giragosian: After aligning with EEU, Armenia faced security threats

Police: Valery Permyakov might have acted not alone

Armenian FM: Armenia's stance on Karabakh is similar to that of Russia, France and the United States

President of Armenia: We have prepared many surprises for hotheads in Azerbaijan

Expert: Defense capability of Armenian armed forces is much higher than offensive ability of Azerbaijan

Armenian FM: Armenia and Russia are unanimous that trial of the Gyumri murder case must be transparent

Political expert: Azeri provocations on the border occur following tragic events in Gyumri

Expert: Turkish president will not change his rhetoric on threshold of Centenary of Armenian Genocide

Edward Nalbandian: Doubts about Baku's reasonableness are growing with every passing day

SME representatives demand that Armenian Government should suspend Law "On Turnover Tax"

Three Azeri soldiers killed and two wounded as a result of ceasefire violation by Azerbaijan

Turcologist: No serious events in Armenia on threshold of Centenary of Armenian Genocide are observed yet

NATO plays no role in Karabakh conflict settlement but supports OSCE Minsk Group's efforts

Rasim Musabekov: Not only global but also the regional geo-political balance is changing

Interview of a member of the Committee for International Relations and Inter-Parliamentary Ties of Azerbaijani parliament, Rasim Musabekov, with Arminfo news agency reflects the viewpoints of the Azerbaijani political elite about the Karabakh conflict settlement and the last geo-political impulses. Naturally, the editorial office of Arminfo has published the interview in full.

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Friday, June 27, 22:20

 Many say that nothing changed around Karabakh for the last 20 years. Meanwhile, the geo-politics around the conflict has radically changed. The conflict around Ukraine, Russia’s new role and deeper disagreements between the co-chair states of the OSCE MG, etc. May all this result in  birth of a new situation around settlement of the Karabakh conflict?

  If nothing has changed in the deadlock situation around the Karabakh settlement for the last 20 years, serious changes happened in the global (the USA, EU, Russia and China), as well as regional (Russia, Turkey, Iran) sector of the geo-policy.

In future this may affect the Karabakh conflict settlement process. However, at present all the three co-chairs of the OSCE MG have close positions, as they are for settlement of the Karabakh conflict through negotiations based on the compromising Madrid principles. It is hard to say if this consensus will be preserved in future, in case of worsening of the crisis in Ukraine.

Not only of the global but also of the regional geo-political balance has changed. If 20-25 years ago, the military, political, economic and cultural domination of Russia in the South Caucasus was obvious, at present the situation differs. Not much has remained from the former strong South Caucasus Military Command able to independently confront Turkey and Iran, and from the Baku Air Defense Command. As for the Russian military bases deployed in Gyumri, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, even after their strengthening, they cannot be compared with the military potential even of the South Caucasus states, and  moreover, of Turkey and Iran. In the demographic, economic and political sense Turkey and Iran still lag behind Russia, but they are coming closer to Russia. By the way, the ratio of forces between the South Caucasus countries changed much for the last 25 years. If at the moment of the USSR split, the number of population of Azerbaijan doubled that of Armenia, at present it is threefold more. Taking into consideration the fact that birth rate in Azerbaijan is fourfold more than in Armenia, and the migration mood in stronger among the Armenians, the demographic disparity will go on developing. If 20 years ago the economy of Armenia was 60% of the Azerbaijani one, at present it is just 16-18%. Not so much has remained from the former military parity either, and the Azerbaijani armed forces exceed much the Armenian ones both by their number and armament.

  During the first halfyear 2014 several dozens of young people died at the border  in the conditions of the “frozen” Karabakh conflict. In our countries they traditionally and cynically explain these death cases by the domestic political situation, the electoral periods and by signing of important contracts. What do you think of it?

 

 

Being sorry about the death of young people, understanding and sharing the sorrow of their parents, I would not rule out the possibility of such cases happening in future as well, if there is no progress in the process of peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict. I don't think that the death of servicemen and sometimes  of civilians at the line of contact is linked with any domestic political or electoral reasons. The war has not ended, and just truce has been reached so that to arrange a strong peace. Unfortunately, we have not yet reached that. So, we shall have skirmishes, firings, local sabotage operations and the attempts of tactical improvement of military positions of the parties.

 

Armenia’s defense minister has recently offered the OSCE MG co-chairmen to set up a commission to investigate incidents at the border. However, the intermediaries refused because of “lack of funds”. Why were they so much consolidated?

 

Such proposals are in fact directed at conservation of the current status-quo. As for the intermediaries, they understand that without development of the peaceful settlement process and deployment of the separating forces, it is impossible to rule out ceasefire regime breaking. So, they are more concerned how to stop development of the situation towards resumption of the large-scale battle actions.

 

The latest repressions against representatives of civil society, in particular, Institute for Peace and Democracy,  dealing with the “people’s diplomacy” with Armenia, are evidence of unwillingness of the authorities of Azerbaijan to go towards peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict on the basis of the 6 Madrid principles. What is the reason of such steps? 

 

It is exaggeration to speak about repressions linked with filing a lawsuit against a journalist Rauf Mikradirov and his arrest. As for the employees of the Institute, they have been attracted to the case only as witnesses.I know Rauf Mirkadirov long ago and I would like to believe that he will manage to protect his reputation and disprove the accusation against him. As for the conclusions, they may be made at the end of investigation. In Armenia as well, people were often detained for cooperation with secret services of Azerbaijan. You should know better, how much all these accusations were grounded. 

 

Azerbaijan is ready to continue talks on Karabakh conflict settlement on the basis of the Madrid principles, a member of the Azerbaijani parliament. All the rumors that the government of Azerbaijan is not ready to continue the talks on peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict on the basis of the Madrid principles are wrong.Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov said that Baku is ready to the subject negotiations for peaceful settlement  on the basis of Madrid principles. However, Baku is not interested in the imitation talks or making of the "frame agreements"  which create an illusion of progress in settlement of the conflict.

 

What direct thunders to the nationals security of Azerbaijan exist today besides the Armenian one?

 

 Azerbaijan manages to neutralize aspiration of the world and regional superpowers to involve us in the sphere of their influence thanks to the balanced foreign political course, to preserve independence and not to turn into somebody's outpost or satellite.

There are no direct thunders to security of Azerbaijan but the ones stemming from  Armenia. Azerbaijan has been striving to establish good neighborly relations with the bordering states. We delimited the border to Russia. The borders to Iran were fixed during the soviet times. As for the disputable issues on the boundary settlement with Iran and Turkmenistan at the Caspian sea, they are resolved in the negotiating regime. There are also thunders stemming from the Islamist groups and movements which have become more active for the last period of time. However, the Azerbaijani security and order forces fully control the situation. Azerbaijan has been actively cooperating with Russia for neutralizing of such extremist groups, which try to penetrate in the territory of the republic. Azerbaijan has been also cooperating with Turkey, Israel and the USA within the frames of the anti-terrorist coalition. The fact that the Jihad forces did not manage to organize any terrorist act in Azerbaijan for the last period of time is evidence of  effectiveness of actions by the Azerbaijani law-enforcement agencies. All such attempts were detected in time and neutralized.

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