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Azeri State Committee for Refugees: Issues of the return of Dilgam Asgarov and Shahbaz Guliyev and the transfer of Hasan Hasanov's dead body are under control of President Aliyev

Armenian Government tries to repay its debts by transferring state-owned enterprises' assets to a U.S. company

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The ICRC has already started talks to return Azeri saboteur's corpse, Azerbaijani State Committee says

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OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs express their serious concern about the increase in tensions and violence in Karabakh conflict zone

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Arthur Grigoryan appointed commercial manager of mobile communication division at Beeline Armenia

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The NKR Minister of Foreign Affairs received the Head of the ICRC Mission in Nagorno-Karabakh

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James Warlick: The number of incidents and resulting deaths and injuries is also a setback in our efforts to work with parties to find a lasting peace

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Life of the three persons injured in Kashatagh as a result of a landmine explosion is out of danger

EU welcomes ruling of Turkish Constitutional Court regarding investigation into the 2007 murder of Turkish- Armenian journalist Hrant Dink

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Nagorno-Karabakh Police publish details of the case of Azeri saboteurs

Eastern Partnership countries cannot join European Union within the next 5 years

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VTB Bank (Armenia) and Visa announce the launch of Summer with VTB campaign

Orange Foundation opens a Youth center in Chinari and a computer center in Zorakan in Tavush region

ICRC Yerevan Office holds negotiations to organize a meeting with Azeris detained in Armenian territory

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ICRC Yerevan Office maintains regular contacts with residents of borderline villages

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Regional

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Power Restrictions Imposed in Tbilisi since June 23, 2014

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Azerbaijan's democratic forces calling for the Association with the EU

Georgian MFA Responds to U.S. Embassy's Statement, Connected with Incidents during Election Campaign

Georgian Ambassador Demands Explanations from Turkish MFA

Georgian Citizens Abroad not to Participate in Local Elections

Georgian President Delegates Prime Minister to Sign Associated Agreement

Georgian Leadership Welcomes Presidential Elections in Ukraine

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Caucasian Muslims Department (CMD) opens an office in Iran, next will be Saudi Arabia

Poroshenko States he Has not Offered Georgian Ex-President Mikheil Saakashvili Adviser's Post

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Blogger Abdul Abilov sentenced to five and a half years

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Stratfor: In 2014 the Kremlin can prevent rapprochement of Georgia and Moldova with the EU, to maintain and strengthen influence in Azerbaijan and Armenia

  • Monday, January 13, 13:29

Arminfo-Turan. According to the American analytical center Stratfor, in 2014 Russia will seek to retain the old and gain new positions in the world. At the same time , it will retain flexible foreign policy and the ability to compromise.

Moscow will become a mediator in resolving complex issues and improve the position in the Middle East, relations with China and Japan.
The Kremlin can prevent rapprochement of Georgia and Moldova with the EU, to maintain and strengthen influence in Azerbaijan and Armenia, and will have a significant impact on the presidential elections in Ukraine in 2015, and the project of the Eurasian Partnership to will strengthen and expand due to Central Asian countries. The European Union will not interfere in Russia.

However , a well-known political CIA analyst Paul Goble said in his interview with  "Voice of America " that  he skeptically accepts the forecasts by  Stratfor, which exaggerates the influence of Russia in the world.

"As a result, in  their analyzes Moscow looks stronger than it is in reality , and the West looks weaker. I do not think that Russia will be more successful in the "near abroad" this year than it was ever before," said Goble .

At the same time there are no less serious challenges  in Russia: the differences within the Kremlin , economic instability and growing authoritarianism of Putin will serve a poor tool for sustainable stability. The concentration of power in the hands of one leader will play against Russia in the long term. 

"The tools used by Putin to revive the Russian state have worn out. Unhealthy economy will contribute to social unrest , while state mechanisms traditionally used to control this disorder,  are losing influence. Putin will be able to cope with the growing instability in the Kremlin and on the streets , but the process he will make the state more dependent on itself,"  reads the  analysis  by Stratfor.

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