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Georgi Kolarov: The second Nagorno-Karabakh war is inevitable

Russian Embassy in Armenia gives a harsh response to the U.S. Embassy

Participants in Beeline's Fortune drawing campaign awarded prizes

Yerevan-Sevan-Ijevan-Azeri border highway to be open in late August

Armenian FM: Through its destructive stance Azerbaijan hinders the Nagorno-Karabakh peace progress

Up to 45% of Armenian citizens are potential emigrants

US Embassy urges Armenian businessmen to refrain from contacts with Russian companies

A leopard family in the south of Armenia gives birth to two cubs

Two Armenian soldiers die because of the Azerbaijani sabotage attack at the line of contact

Human rights activist Leyla and Arif Yunus are accused of secret collaboration with Armenian special services

Member-churches of World Council of Churches going to recognize Armenian Genocide in 2015

NKR foreign minister: Nagorno-Karabakh is where Europe begins

On Aug 2 South Caucasus Railway's commuter trains will be free of charge all over Armenia

Worker killed by a rock fall at perlite deposit in Aragatsavan

Azeris continue firing at Armenia's borderline villages

Serzh Sargsyan: OSCE Minsk Group has suggested principles that can serve as pivot for settling Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Paruyr Hayrikyan: Armenia and Ukraine have a common "frenemy" in the person of Russia

Electric Networks of Armenia is going to dispute Public Services Regulatory Commission's decision to impose a 15mln AMD fine on it

Economist: In face of economic sanctions against Russia, it is necessary to speed up the process for creating Eurasian Economic Union

Economist: The West's sanctions against Russia will affect the Armenian economy

Rostelecom launches online payment service

Public Services Regulatory Commission of Armenia imposes a 15mln AMD fine on Electric Networks of Armenia

Oppositionist: Interests and viewpoints of Stepanakert do not necessarily coincide with those of Yerevan

Oppositionist: Interests and viewpoints of Stepanakert do not necessarily coincide with those of Yerevan

Ashot Manuicharyan: Armenian President's function is to answer "yes, sir!" and to go do it

Deputy Prime Minister of Azerbaijan criticizes the ICRC again

Nature protection minister charges to resolve problems of several tailing dumps on Syunik region

Official stance of VTB Bank OJSC and VTB Bank (Armenia) CJSC on U.S. sanctions

RPA member: Nagorno-Karabakh Prime Minister's statement had no message to negotiators

Ashot Manucharyan: Armenia may face chaos or isolation at any moment

Armenia joins World Day against Trafficking in Persons

Lake Sevan is among top ten attractions in post-Soviet preferred by Russian people

Leyla Yunus is at Prosecutor General's Office, Arif Yunus decides to "give up"

Pre-Parliament: The overarching goal for all Armenians is the formation of a representative government in Armenia

The OSCE is ready to assist in any way possible to stop the cease-fire violations in karabakh conflict zone, Andrzej Kasprzyk says

US Department of State: Media outlets of Armenia published inaccurate articles portraying religious minorities as criminals and spies

Levon Hayrapetyan loses consciousness on Wednesday morning

Public Services Regulatory Commission decides to reduce tariffs of some services of ArmenTel CJSC

Poaching and illegal hunting tours endanger birds in Armenia

The NKR premier: The Madrid Principles are certainly unacceptable to us

Armenian Copper Programme cuts blister copper production by 13.5%

VTB Bank (Armenia) confirms its leadership in lending

EY takes employees of Armenian ancestry back to their roots

Levon Hayraptyan's health much worse

Vahagn Hovnanyan: Oligarchs have full control of Armenian economy

John Heffern believes that Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be resolved only through peaceful talks

In Oct 2014 Armenia to join UN peacekeeping operation in Lebanon

ICRC car fired at on Armenian-Azeri border

Artashes Shaboyan: Reduction in consumer demand has a negative effect on supermarkets

Sergey Markedonov: Not "maidan" but the mass protests of "bazar and mosque" endanger Aliyev's regime

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Thursday, May 8, 16:53

 At present, not "maidan" similar to the Ukrainian one, but radical islamization and the mass protests of "bazar and mosque" endanger the ruling authoritarian regime in Azerbaijan, Russian political expert, Sergey Markedonov, told Arminfo correspondent.

"This is a rather serious danger, taking into account the fact that the crisis in Ukraine has left the geographical frames of this state long ago. I think that it is very much important for the South Caucasus countries to find answers to the questions: How much changing of the borders of the former republics of the USSR is possible? What precedents changing of the Crimea's status will provoke? Nobody has canceled the Nagornyy Karabakh conflict, around which there is not a new status-quo, unlike Abkhazia and South Ossetia", - he said. Against such a background, it is very much important if the Ukrainian situation affects local and foreign political situation in the countries involved in the Karabakh conflict, especially Azerbaijan, 

He thinks that there are several reasons for such a great interest. Azerbaijan is the key partner of Ukraine in the South Caucasus. Both countries have been actively condemning separatism and supporting each other at international forums and organizations. Baku also plays an important part in Kiev's aspiration to build the energy alternatives so that to minimize its dependence on Russia. We should take into consideration the fact that more than 7% out of the total export of armament from Ukraine is the share of Azerbaijan. 

"Nevertheless, after the interim government coming to power in Ukraine, the leadership of Baku were trying to  keep distance from the Ukrainian crisis and abstain making specific steps to support Kiev. Baku scares sharp worsening of relations with Russia, as it understands that Azerbaijan cannot have a role of  "a young democracy trampled by the Russian imperialism". Taking into account the lobby resources of Armenia in the USA and countries of the EU, especially in France, in Baku they understand that defrosting  of the Karabakh conflict will not be followed by the similar reaction of the West at the situation in South Ossetia, Abkhazia and the Crimea", - the expert said. 

Besides the geo-political factors, Baku is careful as it scares revolutionary technologies similar to the "maidan". In this context. the expert said that the Baku regime recognizing the Crimea within Ukraine, nevertheless, will not support the revolutionary aspirations of Ukraine. There is still no force in Azerbaijan able to challenge incumbent. And despite the Talish and Lezgin threat, at present there is nothing in Azerbaijan that may be compared with the Crimea. "Nevertheless, statements by the authorities about "the stable development of Azerbaijan" should not create an illusion of calmness. The risk of development of the radical islam, backed by weakness and separation of the opposition,  is still preserved in the Muslim Azerbaijan. And the wildcat strikes similar to the one held at the Ismail region of Azerbaijan in January 2013, are evidence of that", - Markedonov concluded. 

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