Newsfeed

Edward Nalbandian advises his Azerbaijani counterpart not to use international arena for propaganda

Political expert: OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs want to lobby the meeting between Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan

Shmuel Meirom: Israel is willing to contribute of its experience in the field of economy, but it cannot force Israeli business to invest in Armenia

OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs express their serious concern about the increase in tensions and violence in Karabakh conflict zone

Heritage Party considers Volodya Avetisyan to be a political prisoner

Rostelecom expands its sales and customer service network

Arthur Grigoryan appointed commercial manager of mobile communication division at Beeline Armenia

Edward Nalbandian: Armenia wants to start a dialogue on abolishment of visa regime with EU

Edward Nalbandian: Unlike Azerbaijan, Armenia has been consistently proving its adherence to the principles of international law

No third tailing dump in Tukhmanuk

Edward Nalbandian: Turkey, which is striving to the EU, has shut down the border to the neighboring state, whereas a principle of free movement at the EU territory is one of the basic norms

Ali Hasanov: If international organizations can not resolve the conflict, let them step aside and the two neighboring states solve the problem themselves

Vladimir Dorokhin: None of the Azerbaijanis detained at the territory of Armenia are Russian citizens

"Mika cement" to replace owner

Deputy Prime Minister of Azerbaijan: The Azerbaijani people do not believe the OSCE Minsk Group

OSCE representative concerned about Armenia court decision forcing media outlets to disclose sources

The NKR Minister of Foreign Affairs received the Head of the ICRC Mission in Nagorno-Karabakh

Members of Karabakh parliament made a statement to protect Levon Hayrapetyan

"Vallex" Group celebrates Miner's Day

Commandos: Levon Hayrapetyan's arrest is a result of hard work of Azerbaijani and Russian secret services

Ivan Kukhta: The government of Ukraine owns irrefutable evidence of separatists' blame for the crash of the Malaysian Boeing

According to the results of the first half of 2014, growth rates of Ameriabank's indices exceed average market level

ACBA-CREDIT ACRICOLE BANK and American Express have announced the launch of new card "The ACBA-CREDIT AGRICOLE BANK American Express® Cash Back Card"

No visa regime between Georgia and Armenia

Vahagn Hovnanyan: It is necessary to hold a protest action in front Russia's Embassy in Armenia to support Levon Hayrapetyan

Political expert: Growth of tension at the border is a regular ill-fated expression of complexes by Azerbaijan

James Warlick: The number of incidents and resulting deaths and injuries is also a setback in our efforts to work with parties to find a lasting peace

Lake Sevan is on the verge of environmental disaster

Life of the three persons injured in Kashatagh as a result of a landmine explosion is out of danger

EU welcomes ruling of Turkish Constitutional Court regarding investigation into the 2007 murder of Turkish- Armenian journalist Hrant Dink

Armavir mayor's car explodes in mine-studded territory of Kashatagh

Newspaper: Armenian oligarch's company worked in the shadow

Nagorno-Karabakh Police publish details of the case of Azeri saboteurs

Eastern Partnership countries cannot join European Union within the next 5 years

Expert: Decision to increase water release from Lake Sevan to 270 mln cu m is a shady transaction

RESO Insurance Company compensates for damage under hull insurance in 90.9% of cases

VTB Bank (Armenia) and Visa announce the launch of Summer with VTB campaign

Orange Foundation opens a Youth center in Chinari and a computer center in Zorakan in Tavush region

ICRC Yerevan Office holds negotiations to organize a meeting with Azeris detained in Armenian territory

Hakob Sanasaryan: Armenia has chosen the path of destroying its water resources

ICRC Yerevan Office maintains regular contacts with residents of borderline villages

Areximbank-Gazprombank Group's profit increases by 56.1% and capital grows to 21.9 bln AMD

Levon Ter-Petrosyan: the authorities of Armenia are going to replace the "carrot" of the PAP by the "stick"

Ankara has put forward a plan to form a free trade zone with the Customs Union

Ankara's wish to create free trade zone with Customs Union has a dim prospect for Armenia

Levon Ter-Petrosyan: The delay of Armenia's joining Eurasian Economic Union is conditioned by the demand of the EAEU to set a check point at the border to Nagornyy Karabakh

Levon Ter-Petrosyan: The reaction of the Armenian party at the Azerbaijani invasions is quite guarded and inadequate

Sharmazanov to Ter-Petrosyan: It is unacceptable to speculate the Karabakh issue for the political goals

The Golden Apricot Yerevan 11th International Film Festival has come to its end, the official website reports

Rostelecom services available in the center of Yerevan

Regional

Georgian Parliament Speaker to Visit Israel

Jury to Pass Verdict on Accomplices to Georgian General's Murderer in Moscow

Municipal Transport Drivers to Hold Protest Rally Throughout Georgia

The National Press Day

Saakashvili's Party States it is Important to Conduct the Second Round of Elections till July 19

Historical Changes Have Occurred in Georgia - President

Israeli Minister of Agriculture is Paying Official Visit to Georgia

Power Restrictions Imposed in Tbilisi since June 23, 2014

Ramadan begins on June 29

Azerbaijan's democratic forces calling for the Association with the EU

Georgian MFA Responds to U.S. Embassy's Statement, Connected with Incidents during Election Campaign

Georgian Ambassador Demands Explanations from Turkish MFA

Georgian Citizens Abroad not to Participate in Local Elections

Georgian President Delegates Prime Minister to Sign Associated Agreement

Georgian Leadership Welcomes Presidential Elections in Ukraine

We do not Need Saakashvili's Type Mediators in our Relations with Ukraine - Lavrov

Caucasian Muslims Department (CMD) opens an office in Iran, next will be Saudi Arabia

Poroshenko States he Has not Offered Georgian Ex-President Mikheil Saakashvili Adviser's Post

Russia not to Punish Georgia for Signing Associated Agreement with EU-Kosachev

James Appathurai Writes about Georgia in his Page in Facebook

Blogger Abdul Abilov sentenced to five and a half years

Vugar Aliyev committed to strengthening the responsibility of Internet resources

Civil society urges Aliyev to defend democracy

Zardusht Alizade: Apart, Armenia and Azerbaijan will always remain non-democratic fascist states

Interview of the known Azerbaijani political expert, one of the leaders of the People’s Front of Azerbaijan, an expert on the Caucasus, Zardusht Alizade with ArmInfo news agency

  • by David Stepanyan

  • Wednesday, June 25, 02:58

 

Several dozens of young people died for the first half year of 2014 at the border in the conditions of the “frozen” Karabakh conflict.

 

 A war between Armenia and Azerbaijan will be disastrous for Armenia, in case of opening the front in Nakhijevan.

One cannot but think so looking at the future theater of military  actions, unless there is Russia's factor.  From Nakhijevan to Yerevan there is some 70 km - distance. However, Russia's factor will not allow that war, and much less after the August War of 2008. It became clear then that Russia will not allow any change in the correlation and configuration of forces in the Karabakh conflict zone. Therefore, I think, whatever happens in Nakhijevan - clashes, murders, wounds on the frontline - it will not change the general situation. I am confident that Russia does its best for Armenia and Azerbaijan to remain "hanged from the hook" of the Karabakh conflict. If Russian 'peacekeepers', de-facto occupational forces, were deployed in the Karabakh conflict zone, Moscow could say that the issue is settled. So far, in the Kremlin they think that the current situation of no war - no peace is stable enough to leave it unchanged. Therefore, all these skirmishes depend on the domestic situation in both Armenia and Azerbaijan.  Sometimes Armenians make provocations, sometimes Azerbaijanis start skirmishes often before landmark events,

signing of important contracts. All this happens not without participation of Russia, the authorities and the military in Yerevan and Baku. Generally, I am more than convinced that the situation is stable now and neither Armenia nor Azerbaijan seek to resume the military actions.

 

Before the elections or signing of important contracts young people die…

 

  The death of dozens of young people at the Armenian-Azerbaijani border is more the so-called lyrics, and the reality is in the true economic  and political interests of our elites at stake. The authorities have already formed a habit to brainwash masses by the "Karabakh danger" and to neutralize the opposition. Something seems to be happening with the elites and increasing their desire to neutralize. As a result, we have skirmishes, incidents and death. They want to send a message to the community and show that there is an external enemy, a danger that requires consolidation, suppression and neutralizing of somebody, etc. I don't know what is happening at present, as elites are closed in our countries and everything concerning them is a great secret. Processes have been developing within the elites: the processes of distribution of resources, financial flows, positions. And any row between ministers with participation or without participation of the president is always accompanied by skirmishes at the border under the slogan "Karabakh is in danger!".

 

  Armenia's defence minister offered the OSCE MG co-chairmen to set up a commission to investigate the border incidents. But they refused because of lack of funds

 

 When making such a proposal to the intermediaries, Seyran Ohanyan was confident that the intermediaries will refuse.

Everybody have been playing their own part. Russia under the mask of  an intermediary has been playing its own part according to its own scenario, and the OSCE MG - its own. Serzh Sargsyan has been playing a part of a patriot of the Armenian people and partisan of happiness of the people through Karabakh's joining Armenia. Ilham Aliyev has been playing a part of a defender of the Fatherland and for happiness of the Azerbaijani people through keeping Karabakh within Azerbaijan. All of them get salary for that  and have their own profit, privatize facilities for a song, buy real estate somewhere, etc.However, their key business is defending of the Fatherland, that they have been doing for 20 years.

 

What or who can change the created situation?  

 

The situation created in Armenia, Azerbaijan and around the Karabakh conflict, may first of all change Russia, Azerbaijani political expert. If this country starts splitting as the USSR, it will not remember Karabakh. The bad reality may change aspiration of our  societies. But if people finally understand how long they were done up brown and used, this may change much.  However, we first of all need awakening of the civil society, for the latter to stop playing a part of a defender of the people and  their interests, but a defender of the official position of the state. I am  confident that actually all these so-called non-governmental organizations act like offices of the Foreign Ministry and various propaganda companies. Anyway, all these people, stemming from the positions of the radical, non-compromising and senseless demands, have been automatically turning into the enemies of democracy and of the future of our peoples.  We have to continue such a model of the conflict settlement which will take into account interests of  the Armenian and Azerbaijani peoples. Apart, we will always remain non-democratic and even fascist states.  

 

In Baku Peace and Democracy Institute has taken to take this part. But today they try to destroy it as well as the people’s diplomacy 

 

Since becoming effective, the "people's diplomacy" has started hindering the general line of the authorities of Azerbaijan and Armenia towards freezing of the conflict, its prolongation and using like a resource for supporting their power. This process hinders the authorities with a help of the Karabakh conflict to keep our peoples in leash, as the people's diplomacy has suddenly revealed that there are models  of living together of the Armenians and Azerbaijanis. When we meet each other, we start treating each other with a great respect, and do not even want to kill each other. I think  that even the fact of killing of an Armenian officer by the Azerbaijani one with axe, is also the result of manipulation by the public conscience, whipping up hysteria and enmity in Azerbaijan as well as Armenia,

 

May the events in Ukraine affect Karabakh?

 

 Russia, France and the USA have as deep disagreements in Karabakh as they have in Ukraine. For this reason, first, we should forget about the cooperation of the USA, France and Russia  in the Karabakh conflict. That is to say, they have been cooperating in the Karabakh conflict just the same way as in the Ukrainian conflict. That is to say, they have as deep  disagreements in Karabakh as they have in Ukraine, but they arranged to freeze them for the time being.To be short, the strongest one will freeze the conflict.  At the beginning of the 90s when Azerbaijan and the West were negotiating on the oil contracts

in Baku, the success of the Armenians in Karabakh and the compromises of the Azerbaijani government to the oil companies of the West were developing parallel to each other. In other words, the worse the situation at the front line for Azerbaijan, the more it was forced to make compromises. Just for this reason, all the countries of the West were interested in continuation of the conflict, putting Azerbaijan down on knees. All this finally resulted in a compromise at $30-40 billion. For all the years of independence Armenia got $2 billion from the USA.

 

What is Russia’s profit?

 

Azerbaijan and Armenia are hanging on the hooks of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict that were put under their ribs by Russia in the early 1990s. In early 1991 in my article I gave a clear picture of the situation..At that time all of the post-Soviet republics were hanging on such hooks. Those who were wiser got free. Armenia and Azerbaijan are still hooked. Georgia tore the hooks off its body but left part of its flesh in Russia's claws. Today the Georgians are almost free but they in the Kremlin are doing their best to muddy things up in Javakheti and Kvemo- Kartli. In Javakheti they are not very successful as the Armenian authorities perfectly know what a backfire they may face if they quarrel with Georgia. But in Kvemo-Kartli people are sheeplike enough to believe you if you tell them that the key reason why they are unable to sell their tomatoes and cucumbers expensive is the conflict with Russia and that the only way-out for them is to break away from Georgia. Likewise the Armenians in the early 1990s were told that once Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh reunified, they would get happy. What they have today is a default. The Azerbaijanis in their turn were told that the moment they broke away from the Soviet Union, they would start living like they in Kuwait do. What they got as a result is just a life in Azerbaijan.

Send to a friend

To (e-mail)


Your name


Message


Comments

View comments (0)
  • READ ALL COMMENTS
  • POST A COMMENT

Be first to comment on this article

* Indicates required fields