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 Sunday, August 3 2014

Степанян Դավիթ Stepanyan Ստեփանյան David Давид

Alexey Kolomiyets: West's sanction will hardly sober Putin and the Kremlin

Alexey Kolomiyets: West

 The West-Russia confrontation in Ukraine
is growing, with the West already showing tough attitudes even towards its own
companies working in Russia. As a result, a lot of money and technologies are
flowing out of Russia. Can these measures sober the Kremlin and to give start
to a real dialogue on Ukraine?


 


It is high time to realize fundamentally
that the ongoing global conflict will have global consequences. It is not a new 'cold war.' What we have now is
"a return of history," a direct confrontation of the West, or what
has remained from the West, and 'a coalition of dark forces and evil' headed by
Russia. And Ukraine proved on the front line of that confrontation. It seems
that the West is late. The economic sanctions against Russia and the Kremlin's
regime were to be imposed immediately after occupation of Crimea. Now, these
sanctions will not be as efficient as necessary. In addition, the EU has
already played its role, and did it poorly and cowardly. After all, it would be
naive expecting more from the EU. In this light, there
is need for new forces and structures in the geopolitical arena. It will hardly be NATO. Apparently, it will be a
coalition that can be conventionally called 'a coalition of liberty.' Putin and
the Kremlin will hardly sober up with such measures. "Quite the contrary,
Putin's mad regime destroys the entire architecture of the post-WWII and 'cold
war' policy.  Putin's cabal does it
consciously and providently. Only a power that seeks to
destroy and change power in Russia without splitting it is able to stop Putin's
strategy. 


 


Can the West's sanctions against Russia
are able to affect formation of the Customs Union and the Eurasian Economic
Union?


 


Russia's leadership will ramp up
pressure on the Customs Union members to stop 'abandonment,' which is quite
possible, indeed. The strange irony of it all is that the West's sanctions may
prove more disastrous for the CU and Eurasian Union members rather than for
Russia. No one knows if it will spark a new more powerful wave of 'abandonment'
or not. However, Putin's regime has already launched an open economic war against
Moldova, Ukraine, and Georgia, which will collapse the CIS. Putin's Kremlin
unleashed an economic war against Poland. Baltic States are the next. In
Ukraine they have been waiting for the Government's decision to start an
economic war against Russia for a long time already. Ukraine's Government has
already made a decision to immediately prepare sanctions against Russia. If
Ukraine imposes sanctions against Putin and his cabal, Moldova, Poland, the
Baltic and other states will follow its example. I am sure that Ukraine must
join the sanctions of the EU and the U.S. against Russia.


 


The Supreme Rada's refusal to accept
Arseniy Yatsenyuk's resignation. Was it a protest against his Cabinet’s
unpopular measures?


 


This
is a political game and its goal is to organize mid-term parliamentary
elections. This goal has almost been achieved: in Oct we will reelect the
parliament. I can't predict the results. It will be a military election but we
have no other way but to hold it. Poroshenko and Yatseyuk have assumed the whole
responsibility for Ukraine. The Ukrainians will reward them for this during the
elections. And their fundamental criteria will be a victory over Russia and its
bandits.


 


Concerning the crash of the Malaysian
Boeing we still have more questions than answers, with the charges against
Russia being as unproved as the ones against Ukraine and the United States.
What is your version of this accident?


 


The crash was
part of President Putin's strategy. The plane was hit by a Russian missile.
Putin had a clear strategic plan but he made a mistake. And now, the only
concern of the world community must be to make the Russian organizers of this
tragedy answer before the Hague Tribunal.


 


The southeast of Ukraine is heading for
a humanitarian disaster. Isn’t it time for Ukraine to sober up and to stop
being a laboratory rat for Russia and the West?


 


In order to
prevent a real humanitarian disaster in the southeast of Ukraine, the Ukrainian
authorities must destroy the aggressor by all existing means. They have enough means to do
it, they simply lack political will and courage. The Ukrainian people want their authorities to be
tougher in their military actions.


 


Apparently, Crimea has already turned
into another 'black hole' for Russia, like Chechnya, where Russian taxpayers'
billions are pumped in. Isn’t this why the Kremlin is more careful in its calls
for reintegration with the separatist regimes in the southeast of Ukraine? Or
are there more serious factors?


 


Such
developments were predictable. The Kremlin sought to create a fortress in Crimea and is
doing it now, being absolutely unaware that in Crimea there are people, and
many are not reliable from the political point of view. Developments in Crimea
are a powerful geopolitical challenge to the entire Black Sea region and the
regions bordering it. Military attacks on Ukraine's eastern regions are part of
a wide conception. Even in case of failure in the east of Ukraine, other
mechanisms will be included in that concept in other European regions that have
already been 'targeted' by the Kremlin. 

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